Frizz forecast: will my curls frizz today?

Humidity is the wrong number. Curls react to the dew point. Type your city and see today’s frizz risk, the next three days, and what to use.

Your hair porosity

Not sure? Take the porosity quiz. Weather from Open-Meteo.

No city? Work it out from temperature and humidity

Why dew point, not humidity

Relative humidity depends on temperature. 60% on a cold morning and 60% on a hot afternoon are very different amounts of water in the air. The dew point measures the water itself, so it is the number your curls actually respond to.

Dew pointWhat curls doWhat to use
Below −1°C (30°F)Air pulls water out of the hair. Dry, static frizzCreams and oils, little or no glycerin
−1 to 4°C (30 to 40°F)A little dryMoisturising leave-in, humectants low on the list
4 to 15°C (40 to 60°F)The sweet spotAnything. Humectants help
15 to 21°C (60 to 70°F)Water swells the strand. Frizz startsStrong-hold gel, film formers, seal with oil
Above 21°C (70°F)Big frizz and lost definitionStrong gel, no glycerin, or a protective style

How the forecast works

It looks up your city with Open-Meteo, a free open weather service, and checks the dew point for every hour of today. Your style has to survive the whole day, so the rating uses whichever hour is furthest from comfortable, not just the reading right now. Your porosity changes the advice, because high-porosity hair swells most in humid air and loses water fastest in dry air.

Glycerin is the swing ingredientGlycerin and other humectants pull water from the air. In the sweet spot that means soft, defined curls. In a heatwave they pull in too much, and in a freeze they pull water out of your hair instead. Check a product with the ingredient checker.

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Questions people ask

What dew point is best for curly hair?

Roughly 4 to 15°C (40 to 60°F). In that range humectants work well, and curls hold their shape without swelling or drying out.

Why does my hair frizz when it is humid?

Hair absorbs water from humid air. The water swells the strand unevenly, which breaks up curl clumps and lifts the cuticle. A strong-hold gel or a film-forming styler slows the water down.

Should I avoid glycerin in winter?

When the dew point is below about −1°C (30°F), yes. Glycerin pulls water from wherever there is more of it, and in very dry air that is your hair.

How is the frizz risk number calculated?

It is how far the day’s most extreme dew point is from a comfortable 10°C (50°F), scaled from 0 to 100. Higher means more frizz from either humidity or dryness.